Colombia is poised to regain third place among coffee producers with a 25% jump in output, as the benefits of a drier start to the year feed into higher yields.
The South American country's coffee harvest will hit 11m bags in 2010-11, recovering towards historic levels after two seasons when plantations were damaged by poor conditions blamed largely on the El Nino weather pattern.
"Better weather conditions in 2010 have allowed coffee tree to receive more daylight, resulting in better flowering, which indicates that coffee yields will improve," a report from the US Department of Agriculture's Bogota bureau said.
The conditions, coupled with greater use of fertilizer, would also "facilitate the ripening of the beans".
The production revival, which took hold in April, will accelerate into the end of the calendar year, the briefing said, favouring in particular the 2010-11 season, which starts in October.
Indeed, output in the current 2009-10 season would show only marginal improvement on the 8.66m bags recorded the previous season – the lowest figure in 33 years.
Colombia coffee forecasts 2010-11 (year-on-year change) Area planted: 780,000 hectares (unch) Area harvested: 640,000 hectares (unch) Production: 11.0m bags (+25%) Imports: 600,000 bags (-18.9%) Exports: 9.2m bags (+13.6%) Domestic use: 1.20m bags (unchanged) Year-end stocks: 499,000 bags (+67%) Source: USDA attache report
"The damage done by strong rains, and the increased humidity which created a greater-than-usual struggle with coffee rust… caused production to decrease dramatically," the report said.
The decline has seen Colombia overtaken by Indonesia for third place in the coffee production table, although this position should be reversed in 2010-11, assuming the briefing's estimates are correct.
Colombia has maintained its pace as the world's third-ranked bean exporter helped by local diffidence to drinking coffee, relative to other producing nations.
The country's consumption of 1.87kg of coffee per head is half of that in Honduras, and less than one-third of that in Brazil, the top producer of the bean.
Colombia's exports will rise by 15.2% to 10.2m bags in 2010-11.
Colombia is poised to regain third place among coffee producers with a 25% jump in output, as the benefits of a drier start to the year feed into higher yields.
The South American country's coffee harvest will hit 11m bags in 2010-11, recovering towards historic levels after two seasons when plantations were damaged by poor conditions blamed largely on the El Nino weather pattern.
"Better weather conditions in 2010 have allowed coffee tree to receive more daylight, resulting in better flowering, which indicates that coffee yields will improve," a report from the US Department of Agriculture's Bogota bureau said.
The conditions, coupled with greater use of fertilizer, would also "facilitate the ripening of the beans".
The production revival, which took hold in April, will accelerate into the end of the calendar year, the briefing said, favouring in particular the 2010-11 season, which starts in October.
Indeed, output in the current 2009-10 season would show only marginal improvement on the 8.66m bags recorded the previous season – the lowest figure in 33 years.
Colombia coffee forecasts 2010-11 (year-on-year change) Area planted: 780,000 hectares (unch) Area harvested: 640,000 hectares (unch) Production: 11.0m bags (+25%) Imports: 600,000 bags (-18.9%) Exports: 9.2m bags (+13.6%) Domestic use: 1.20m bags (unchanged) Year-end stocks: 499,000 bags (+67%) Source: USDA attache report
"The damage done by strong rains, and the increased humidity which created a greater-than-usual struggle with coffee rust… caused production to decrease dramatically," the report said.
The decline has seen Colombia overtaken by Indonesia for third place in the coffee production table, although this position should be reversed in 2010-11, assuming the briefing's estimates are correct.
Colombia has maintained its pace as the world's third-ranked bean exporter helped by local diffidence to drinking coffee, relative to other producing nations.
The country's consumption of 1.87kg of coffee per head is half of that in Honduras, and less than one-third of that in Brazil, the top producer of the bean.
Colombia's exports will rise by 15.2% to 10.2m bags in 2010-11.
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